Juan Soto's market value, called Ted Williams in the 21st century, is soaring.
Most of the estimated ransom offered by local media exceeds $600 million. Some believe that more than $700 million is possible.
FanGraphs proposed Soto's estimated contract size at $576 million for 12 years (AAV 48 million). ESPN and The Athletic predicted $611 million (AAV 47 million) for 13 years, MLBTR predicted $600 million (AAV 46.15 million) for 13 years, and Bleacher Report predicted $658 million (AAV 47 million) for 14 years. Blitzer Report is the highest in total and PanGraphs for AAV.안전놀이터
Taking it even further, New York Post reporter John Heyman boldly predicted $700 million. He said on the 4th, "The new magic number of the top FA Soto is considered $700 million (or more). It's $700 million solid, not $700 million with a 97 percent deferred payment that Ohtani put in when he signed with the Dodgers."
When Shohei Ohtani signed a 10-year, 700 million-dollar FA contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers in December last year, the largest in North American professional sports history, he decided to receive 680 million dollars for 10 years from 2034, and the "現價" of 700 million dollars will fall to 430 million dollars. Heyman predicted that Soto would be aiming for 700 million dollars without a delay in payment.
Of course, AAV can be changed depending on the contract period to meet the 700 million dollar mark. It costs 70 million dollars for 10 years, 63.64 million dollars for 11 years, 58.33 million dollars for 12 years, 53.85 million dollars for 13 years, 50 million dollars for 14 years, and 46.67 million dollars for 15 years. Some speculate that Soto may want a 15-year contract that is guaranteed until 2039, when the 40-year-old season returns. 700 million dollars is a burden for clubs, but they have to be reluctant to sign a 15-year contract.
However, he has to listen to what Soto wants. Heyman predicts that the battle for Soto will be a "eight-way race." The New York Yankees, the New York Mets, the Dodgers, the Toronto Blue Jays, the San Francisco Giants, the Boston Red Sox, and two other unknown teams will make strong offers. The Yankees, the Mets, the Toronto Blue Jays, and the Boston Red Sox have even scheduled a meeting with Soto this week and next week.
If competition is fierce, prices will rise. This hot demand group is the reason Soto is likely to break Otani's ransom record. All big market clubs are teams that can spend as much money as they want.
Then, apart from market demand, does Soto have the value and potential to receive $700 million.
FanGrafth said, "Just a few weeks after he turned 26, the most complete hitter in the Major League Baseball has entered the FA market. I have never seen such a masterpiece with such huge amounts of money before. He said, "Big market clubs have two things that make their mouth water. The skill and youth of a true superstar." He was referring to Soto's ability and age to support his values.
ESPN also said, "Considering Soto's age, the longest contract period in history and more than $600 million are certain," adding, "Soto has created his own unique world among the highest-ranking hitters, especially among all-time FA hitters. No one has ever been as young and nutritious as Soto." For example, Soto is ranked 8th in the cumulative OPS+ ranking through the 25-year-old season. Ty Cobb (180) is the No. 1 player, and Mike Trout (172) and Soto are the only active players among the top 10 players. Since Trout signed an extension contract with the Los Angeles Angels in March 2019 for $126.5 million, the value of Soto, the current FA, can be guessed.
Agent Scott Boras does not believe there is a need to promote Soto separately. When asked to compare Soto with Ohtani in an interview with local media at a meeting of major league leaders last week, he stressed, "I don't think Otani has anything to do with Soto. A comparison between the two is not something we will discuss or consider. When it comes to age categories, Soto is particularly distinct from other players."
Ohtani was born in July 1994, and Soto was born in October 1998. Ohtani is 29 years and four months old, while Soto is 26 years and one month old. Ohtani signed a 10-year, 700 million-dollar contract and will stay with the Dodgers until the 39-year-old season. For Soto to be guaranteed until the 39-year-old season, he needs to set his contract period to 14 years. This is why Boras said that players should not be compared.
The $700 million Otani contract is $437.4 million if calculated at the present price. If this is distributed over 10 years, an annual salary of $46 million is set. In other words, if Soto pays an annual average of $46 million and over 10 years without suspension of payment, he could break Otani's real ransom record. However, Soto seems to want to fully receive $600 million, and furthermore, $700 million, during the contract period.
Chances are high that Soto will become the MVP of a record-high-priced contract. Of the five players who signed contracts worth more than 350 million dollars in total, Manny Machado (11 years and 350 million dollars) is the only player who has no MVP experience. Otani and Trout (426.5 million dollars for 12 years), Mookie Betts (365 million dollars for 12 years) and Aaron Judge (nine years and 360 million dollars) each won MVP more than once and successfully made huge contracts. This will also likely be Soto's category.
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